The pieces will reassemble back to a two party system, Democrat and Libertarian, and the Grand Old Party withers off just as the Whig party from which it descended did in 1856

Michael Murphy in Politico predicts Trump will be primaried by moderate competent Republicans such as John Kasich or possibly Mitt Romney during the run up to the 2020 Presidential campaign. But Trump will prevail among his base and rupture all that ties the GOP together.  He will lose the national contest because Conservatives with real ideology and honor will split off, most logically to the Libertarian Party whose last two candidates in 2016 where successful Republican Governors, Gary Johnson of New Mexico and William Weld of Massachusetts.  The pieces will reassemble back to a two party system, Democrat and Libertarian, and the Grand Old Party withers off just as the Whig party from which it descended did in 1856.

@FederalismToday: Jeff Sessions is Bobby Kennedy and Jerry Brown is George Wallace

      There is a delicious irony in Attorney General Jeff Sessions’ lawsuit against
the State of California under Governor Jerry Brown for its Sanctuary Laws
meant to impede the deportation of illegal immigrants.  The irony is that today
the Progressive argues for States Rights and the Southern Obstructionist
argues for central government control very much like Governor of Alabama
George Wallace did resisting integration against Attorney General Robert
Kennedy’s insistence not to. While the issues of school integration and illegal
immigration are different the technical aspects of the argument on both sides
and times are the same.  Irony aside Progressives ought to reconsider States
Rights as a noble argument, despite a history of use to obscure and protect
racism, to promote local enhancement of the public good. Health care reform
was enacted in 2006 Massachusetts under Governor Mitt Romney with the
intention to provide insurance for nearly all of the State’s residents. It's a
beautiful example of Federalism, euphemistically called using the States as
laboratories of democracy.      

Federalism, the sharing of power between the States and central
government, was an invention of our forefathers when drafting the Constitution.
Federalism as a word though is confusing because it means State’s rights and
power or exactly the opposite of what you would think it means. But it was how
the unilateral power of the States under the failed Articles of Confederation was
reconciled with the need for some central power to make government
successful. Also it was the practical solution for governance over an expansive
geography with little communication. The Constitution formed a central
government that provided a point for diplomacy with other countries, an economic
free trade zone and a bill of rights leaving other matters for the States to figure
out for themselves. As communications improved so did the realization that
central command was possible. It was the Robber Barons of the Gilded Age
that first understood how communications made possible the command and
control organizational structures they formed to amass great fortunes. As usual
government came late to the same understanding and took forty years until
Franklin Delano Roosevelt organized government as a command and control
entity much as his forebears had done with business.  Ever since Progressive’s
have attributed to central government a god like beneficence and the
assumption that the levers of power would always be managed by good people.
Donald J Trump is the nightmare monster who has taken control of those levers
and destroyed those assumptions. Federalism can take power from that monster.
It is the reason Progressives should embrace it.
Another point to consider is that communication as it progressed from
modern to hyper connected has flattened command structures in business and
media. Today in business there is little profit in the physical, General Motors for
example, and incredible wealth in organizing the digital as in Google. Government
has only illusory markers, not the real sales and profit that guides the business world,
by which to direct itself. Local issues are powerful guides for local government to be
responsive to. Big government on the other hand requires illusions and in a world of
hyper connectivity the good ones are diminished and the bad ones stimy to the point
of chaos. Ron Chernow's Hamilton  and Henry Adam's History of the United States
show the political scene in our country's early years as rampant with fake news and
vain glorious individuals who make our current political debate look tame. The
difference is that central government was in its infancy with little influence and power.  
Today we should rejoice that our Blowhard in Chief has brought Washington's one
size fits all meddling to a halt so that the States will soon make relevant decisions for
themselves. It’s what will save our democracy from morphing into an autocracy.