After Wrestling Tikrit from ISIS, Iraqis Face Sectarian and Tribal Tensions shows how conquering is the easy part of pacifying a city or region. Its leaving behind a functioning political unity that polices and administrates somewhat effectively that is the really hard part. Tikrit is far from "Job Done" and no thought about conquering Mosul should be contemplated until it really is, especially for the lessons learned on how to re-occupy with something lasting.
May 22nd:
ISIS just routed Iraq's military in a take over of Ramadi in the Anbar region of Iraq. This leaves the Jabour Tribe, a pro Iraq moderate Sunni group, in Alam just north of Tikrit in a very vunerable position for having backed Baghdad in the reconquest. With Baghdad's attention now focused on Anbar ISIS is sure to reconquer Tikrit and kill off the Jabours as a lesson to would be Sunni moderates.
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