Sunday, September 18, 2016

John Kerry must accept Assad's power and negotiate with Russia and Iran to contain him

Smiling as Syria Burns, Assad Remains Secure in Power and Impunity because he embodies Shia Alawite political power, which may be a minority but nevertheless is the strongest in the region. The Kurds have taken away the Northeast from his possible sphere of influence by taking back Kobani from ISIS last year and with that conquest settled in with a strong political union that desires to form a Kurdish Nation. Where Assad lacks power and influence is in Sunni Arab regions and he miscalculates by thinking he can forcibly retake these regions without utterly destroying and thereby his capability of ruling them. Its a wish that Russia and Iran can be convinced not to pursue for Assad because he lost the political power to keep Sunni Arabs under his control. Syria is partitioning. Rather than take an emotional diplomatic approach that he must go at all costs it would be preferable that John Kerry and the State Department take a realpolitic acceptance of Assad's power and negotiate with Russia and Iran to contain him in his Alawite enclave.      

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