Can't believe Secretary of Defense Ash Carter on NBC this morning thought that Russia would agree to remove Bashar al-Assad and replace with a moderate coalition government in Syria. If one were to understand that Russia's only naval base in the Mediterranean is in al-Assad's Allawite home turf then you would think it was Ash Carter. Its plain that Putin supports anyone who secures the base for Russia. A coalition government would not so that private negotiations where Russian negotiators appear to bend on the issue is just hot air. State and Defense should know it's not workable just on the Realpolitik face of it.
A realistic analysis of what could be done to bring peace in Syria is to let it partition into separate regions which would keep al-Assad in his Allawite enclave and Russia's base with a secure ally.
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