Thursday, March 26, 2026

The ugliest possibility is a great unwinding where catastrophic economic damage causes countries to seek self-sufficiency, perhaps by building regional spheres of influence that provide resources and markets. This would be drastic, but not unprecedented: When interdependence collapsed during the Great Depression, aggressive powers conquered enormous empires in hopes of creating self-contained prosperity and security against their foes.

 

Wars Have Entered the Chokehold Era

One quarter of the Americans who voted for Donald Trump in 2024 disapprove of his Iran policy, and this disapproval is especially high among groups who moved strongly toward him during that election: 56% among young adults, 62% for Hispanics and independents. These statistics signal more than a political threat for Mr. Trump and the Republicans who must face voters this fall. They represent a challenge to the democratic legitimacy of the most solemn decision that a nation can make. It’s up to the president to conclude this war in the way that does the least damage to our national interest—and to the people’s waning confidence in their public institutions.

 



Lesson of Iran: Don’t go to war without first selling the effort to American voters.



 ET

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

It's time Markets reckon that Trump has a credibility gap.and that he is just pulling Iran peace talks out of his ass

 

Stocks Fall in Choppy Trading as War Drags On: Markets Wrap

Traders continue to juggle headlines around the US-Israeli war against Iran after Trump signaled a possible end to hostilities on Monday following what he described as productive talks. The positive sentiment from those comments faded after Iran denied substantive discussions, while the Wall Street Journal reported that US allies in the Persian Gulf may join the campaign against Tehran.



Friday, March 13, 2026

Despite President Donald Trump’s blustering that America benefits when oil prices surge, crunch time is fast approaching for both the war and the energy market. He either ends the conflict quickly, or sky-high energy costs will force him to do so. The oil market may not have the same fearsome reputation as the bond market but, trust me, it can be equally savage in twisting a politician’s arm.

 

The White House's Oil-Restraint Toolbox Is Empty


Updated on 

When the first cruise missiles began detonating inside Iran, the strikes had all the hallmarks of previous successful US military campaigns — unstoppable, overwhelming force delivered without warning. But as the conflict extends toward a third week, the US war effort is showing unexpected signs of strain against an adversary whose military budget is smaller than the GDP of Vermont — but which has an arsenal of missiles and drones unlike anything the US has ever faced.

 

Iran’s Cheap, Plentiful Weaponry Puts US Military Under Unprecedented Strain


As the conflict extends toward a third week, an arsenal of attack drones and ballistic missiles has helped make Tehran unlike any adversary the US has faced.


By Gerry Doyle, Jen Judson, Courtney McBride and Becca Wasser - Bloomberg Economics March 10, 2026 at 5:38 PM EDT