“Deep Learning Is Hitting a Wall,” so-called scaling laws aren’t physical laws of the universe like gravity but hypotheses based on historical trends. Large language models, which power systems like GPT-5, are nothing more than souped-up statistical regurgitation machines, so they will continue to stumble into problems around truth, hallucinations and reasoning. Scaling would not bring us to the holy grail of A.G.I.

 

The Fever Dream of Imminent Superintelligence Is Finally Breaking

By Gary Marcus

Mr. Marcus is a founder of two A.I. companies and the author of six books on natural and artificial intelligence.

How This A.I. Company Collapsed Amid Silicon Valley’s Biggest Boom

Thanks to the dream of artificial intelligence, Silicon Valley is experiencing its biggest boom ever. Companies are pushing the technology as the savior of humanity. It will be your boss, your employee, your teacher, your best friend, your therapist. The tech community is stoked with an urgency bordering on panic. If the world is utterly changing right at this moment, there’s not a moment to lose.

Builder’s collapse has gone largely unnoticed amid the frenzy. It is the biggest A.I. company to crater, although whether it should have been called an A.I. company at all is up for debate. Artificial intelligence is an ambiguous term. Attaching the A.I. label to a start-up can involve a considerable degree of hope and presumption, and sometimes outright deception.