Sunday, January 28, 2018

The Libertarian Party lies in wait

      The U.S. political system is unique in having two dominant political parties. Our Founding Fathers who never thought of political parties but when considering big state versus small state representation devised a compromise that converted the popular vote to a winner take all state electoral college system. It's a system that had the unintended game theory consequence of stabilizing with two dominant political parties when they developed.
       Political parties formed at the beginning of President George Washington's administration with the differing opinions of Alexander Hamilton, Secretary of Treasury, favoring a strong centralized government promoting industry and Thomas Jefferson, Secretary of State, favoring power to the state governments and an agricultural society. By 1830 the Jeffersonian's regrouped with Andrew Jackson's election as today's Democrats and John Quincy Adam's Federalist morphed into the Whig Party. In the 1850's disaffected Whigs who disagreed with their party's pro slavery leadership broke off and formed today's Republican Party. The election of Abraham Lincoln in 1860 made the GOP the new majority party and eliminated the Whigs as the system reverted back to its stable two party preference. From the 1900's to the present, an era where central government took more and more power from the states, the two major parties remained Democrat and Republican but one exchanged its progressive Northern urban constituency for the other's regressive Southern rural one.
      The Libertarian Party formed in 1971 as a Conservative offshoot of a GOP gone wildly off course when President Richard Nixon declared himself a Keynesian and put the country on wage and price controls. Today the party is the third biggest vote getter of the past presidential election but at three or four percent nowhere near a level to replace either of the dominant parties. With a Classical Liberal ideology and fifty state organization its a party that lies in wait for a set of circumstances to make it a dominant party. The current opportunity is that the GOP breaks apart and leaders gravitate to the Libertarian party much like former Republican Governors Gary Johnson and William Weld did as Libertarian candidates in the 2016 Presidential election. Unlike other third parties which solely coalesce around a personality, Libertarians have the possibility acquiring an elected Governor who combines personality with a political apparatus that would make a giant inroad into the Electoral College barrier, enough so that like with Abraham Lincoln the old party collapses and the new one takes over.

  

Friday, January 5, 2018

Its not disdain for Science rather disdain for the Office of Science Technology Policy

Reading Trump's Disdain for Science got a real chuckle out of me not because that Trump doesn't read and requires a catchy picture to grab his childlike attention but that the editorial is an earnest appeal for The Office of Science & Technology Policy which is a pure waste and ought to be shut down as soon as possible.

Thursday, January 4, 2018

Time for Europe to assert some autonomy against our Blowhard in Chief's sheer stupidity

New York Times headline E.U. Resists Trump’s call for Harsher Condemnation on Iran Protests puts the sanctions regime against Iran in a quandary where Trump threatens to put them back as a reaction to the recent protests and where relaxing them and allow President Rouhani’s moderate regime to improve Iran’s economy and counter Ayatollah Khamenei’s authoritarian rule would be the more logical. It’s time that Europe, particularly French President Macron, lead a trade tour to Iran to see how they could help Rouhani out. If it means breaking the Dollar’s transacting sanctions with Iran then bypass them with the Euro and European Banks, especially now with a U.S. Blowhard in Chief directing our banking system, and assert some autonomy against sheer stupidity.

Limits set by experts to mitigate global warming being broken to protect the public from the cold

Listening to NPR in New England during a winter storm and what has been several weeks of record cold temperatures one is struck by the irony that utilities had to drop using natural gas because its currently needed to heat homes and therefor they are  using dirtier oil fired systems which then break local state government clean air limits. So limits set by experts to mitigate global warming are being broken to protect the public from the cold. Let Mr. Market be the expert. Gas fired cleaner energy is generally cheaper and utilities are drawn to using it for pure economic reasons and when the cold and spike in gas prices subsides to normal they will use it again without need of an expert looking over their shoulder telling them to do so.