Saturday, April 18, 2015

No Progress in Syria

My Post of February 28th:
Because Syria does not have a prosperous, and therefore moderate, Sunni political union it requires that the allies build one from scratch before thinking of funding rebel groups to counter ISIS and Assad. The U.N. Syrian refugee hunger aid program is a non partisan vehicle of distribution of funds with a debit card process that lets families decide for themselves what goods and services to buy.  Allied policy should be to make the Syrian refugee camps in Northwestern Jordan attractive to those desirous of peace and prosperity so that they gravitate to South Syria.  Providing this sanctuary also alleviates the desperate migration of Syrians to Europe and other countries.  The benefit of direct distribution of funds to consumers is its moderating effect which forms a market economy within the camps so they self organize governing bodies that secures the people and adjudicates fairly.  Camps could organize along ethnic lines of the various sects of Islam and Christianity which eventually federalize into a moderate political union.  Generous aid to Jordan creates an infrastructure to service the refugees and eventually construct city states across the border in the South of Syria; cities protected from Assad’s helicopters with American and Jordanian air power, by the way a much better use of Jordan’s air power where Sunni’s are supported rather than innocents killed as in its current lashing out in reprisal to ISIS’s immolation of a Jordanian pilot.  The Syrian city states swell as they accept more and more refugees so as to expand northward.  The disaffected Sunnis of Damascus vacate and force Assad to retreat with his Alawite Shia tribe to Syria’s western shore.  Over time moderate governance would expand northward displacing ISIS’s from hollowed out cities in Syria and possibly in Iraq as well.  Generous aid sounds as if it would be costly but it is certain to be one tenth the cost of funding the carrier fleet in the Eastern Mediterranean for example,  and with a much more productive result in pacifying the region.

Apparently no one of influence sees the need to make a pacifying zone in southern Syria along the Jordanian border that invites Syrian refugees to come and develop communities and political unions that can displace Syria's dysfunctional political regions. So instead of real progress in Syria we just have a growing problem in Europe, Turkey and North America as reported in Tide of Refugees, But the West Isn't Welcoming.

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